Finance and Economics General

TCBM redictions of the last interest rate decision and monetary policy by the year 2025

Turkiye-Cumhuriyet-Merkez-Bankasi-finans-ve-borsa-temasi-insanlar-olmadan-bir-bankanin-onunde

Current interest rate decision and its effects

The monetary policy committee (MPC) at its meeting on 26 December 2024 the policy rate to 50%from the %47.5e lowered. This decision marks a new era in the process of monetary tightening.

The Reasons Behind This Decision

Economic Indicators

  • Gradual improvement in inflation seen
  • Relative stability of exchange rates
  • Balancing the tendency of the current deficit
  • Controlled deceleration in economic activity

Global Factors

  • The Fedsignals the end of 2024 interest discount
  • Stabilization in global commodity prices
  • International financial conditions, the improvement in

Expectations For The Year 2025

The First Half (January-June 2025)

  1. Interest Deductions:
  • January-March: %45-47 expectation tape
  • April-June: %40-45 prediction tape
  1. Economic Goals:
  • The significant decline in inflation
  • The preservation of financial stability
  • Sustainable growth

The Second Half (July-December 2025)

  1. Interest Rate Policy:
  • July-September: %target band 35-40
  • October-December: %30-35 expectation tape
  1. Macroeconomic Targets:
  • Single-digit inflation target
  • Improvement of foreign trade balance
  • Strengthening the investment environment.

Strategic Recommendations For Investors

Short-Term Strategies

  1. Deposit Investments:
  • Assessment day term deposit 32-45
  • Deposit Protected Setup Options
  1. Bond-Bond Market:
  • Short-term government bonds
  • Private sector debt instruments

Medium-Long Term Strategies

  1. Investment Tools:
  • Long-term government bonds
  • Stock market opportunities
  • Real estate investment funds
  1. Portfolio Diversification:
  • Gold and precious metals
  • Foreign exchange positions
  • Pension funds

Risk factors and considerations

Internal Risks

  • Changes in inflation expectations
  • The effects of the economy on the election
  • Developments in the current account deficit

External Risks

  • Policies of global central banks
  • Geopolitical developments
  • International energy prices

Conclusion and evaluation

CBT’s recent interest rate cuts have been eased shows that the process of monetary tightening in a controlled manner. 2025.:

  • Gradual interest rate cuts
  • Stability in the fight against inflation
  • To maintain financial stability is expected.

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